Prediction Markets in the United States 2026
4 prediction market platforms available in United States. Compare fees, regulation and features.
🇺🇸 Prediction Markets in United States
The United States is the only country with a fully CFTC-regulated prediction market exchange — Kalshi. Since its approval in 2020, Kalshi has expanded into politics, economics and weather event contracts. PredictIt also operates under a CFTC no-action letter, though it is winding down new markets. Polymarket is not available to US residents due to regulatory restrictions, but play-money platforms like Manifold and forecasting sites like Metaculus are fully accessible.
⚠️ Check Your Local Laws
Prediction market legality varies by country and region. This page is for informational purposes only. Always verify that a platform is legally accessible in United States before depositing funds. Sento does not provide legal or financial advice.
Available in 🇺🇸 United States
4 platforms you can use from United States.
Kalshi
US-regulated event contracts
The first CFTC-regulated prediction exchange in the US. Trade event contracts on economics, weather, politics and more with real USD.
• CFTC-regulated (US legal)
• USD deposits via bank transfer
• Clean, intuitive interface
• Growing market selection
• US-only
• Lower liquidity than Polymarket
• Some markets have low volume
Metaculus
Community forecasting platform
A forecasting platform focused on science, technology and geopolitics. Free to use with reputation-based scoring — great for learning prediction skills.
• Free to use
• Available worldwide
• Excellent for learning forecasting
• Strong community and track record
• No real-money trading
• Reputation-only rewards
• Smaller market selection
PredictIt
Political prediction market
A university-run political prediction market with a long track record. Winding down new markets but still active for existing contracts.
• Long track record
• USD deposits
• Simple interface
• Winding down operations
• 10% profit withdrawal fee
• Low liquidity on many markets
• Limited to politics
Manifold
Play-money prediction market
Create and trade on any question using play money (mana). Great for learning, community building and exploring niche topics.
• Available everywhere
• Anyone can create markets
• Huge variety of topics
• Great for beginners
• Active community
• Play money only (mana)
• No real financial returns
• Market quality varies
Quick Comparison — United States
| Feature | 🎯 Kalshi | 🔬 Metaculus | 🏛️ PredictIt | 🎲 Manifold |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rating | 4.5/5 | 4.3/5 | 3.8/5 | 4.2/5 |
| Fees | No fees on most trades | Free | 10% on profits + 5% withdrawal | Free |
| Min Deposit | $2 | Free | $5 | Free |
| Regulation | CFTC-regulated (USA) | N/A (no real money) | CFTC no-action letter (expired) | N/A (play money) |
| Founded | 2021 | 2015 | 2014 | 2022 |
| Payment | Bank transfer | Free (no deposits) | Debit card | Free (play money) |
Sento may earn a commission when you sign up through our links. This does not affect our reviews or rankings. Prediction markets involve risk — you can lose money. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and check local regulations in United States before participating. Content last updated March 2026.